Ruto Leads 2027 Presidential Preference Poll as Sifuna Records Second-Highest Support
President William Ruto has topped a new Politrack Research Team survey, while Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna has emerged as the second-most preferred presidential candidate ahead of Kenya’s 2027 General Election.
President William Ruto has recorded the highest level of presidential preference in a new national opinion poll, with Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna registering the second-highest share of support among the candidates tested.
The Politrack Research Team survey, conducted between September 15 and 25, 2026, found Ruto with 45.1 per cent of respondents’ stated presidential preference.
Sifuna followed with 19.6 per cent, while Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka recorded 10.3 per cent.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i received 7.2 per cent, followed by former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua at 6.0 per cent.
The survey also found that 8.4 per cent of respondents were undecided, highlighting a sizeable group whose preferences had not been settled at the time of the fieldwork.
Sifuna records notable showing
Sifuna’s position in the survey places him ahead of several politicians with established national profiles.
The Nairobi senator has stepped up his political activities through the Linda Mwananchi movement as opposition figures and political parties consider possible alliances ahead of the 2027 election.
The latest figures put Sifuna 9.3 percentage points ahead of Kalonzo Musyoka in the survey.
Other candidates recorded considerably smaller shares. Professor George Wajackoyah received 1.1 per cent, while former Cabinet Secretary Martha Karua and former Chief Justice David Maraga each recorded 0.8 per cent.
Siaya Governor James Orengo received 0.4 per cent, while businessman Jimmy Wanjigi registered 0.3 per cent.
Ruto’s position in the poll
Ruto’s 45.1 per cent was the highest figure recorded among the candidates included in the survey.
The president has continued travelling across the country, attending government project launches, inspections and commissioning ceremonies as his administration highlights its development programme ahead of the next election.
Recent presidential engagements have included visits to parts of Nyanza, the South Rift and the Coast, where government projects covering infrastructure, housing, water, health, education and energy have featured prominently.
The survey, however, measures stated preference during the September 15–25 fieldwork period. It does not constitute an election result or establish how voters will ultimately cast their ballots in 2027.
How the poll was conducted
Politrack said the survey involved 20,419 respondents drawn from across the country.
According to the research team, data was collected using a text-based technology platform through which sampled users were invited to participate and respond to questions at their convenience.
The survey reported a 95 per cent confidence level and a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Other reporting on the survey says national estimates were weighted according to each county’s share of registered voters.
The methodology and timing are important when interpreting the findings. Opinion polls measure sentiment among the people surveyed at a particular point in time, and their results can change as campaigns, alliances and candidate line-ups develop.
Political field remains fluid
The poll comes as Kenya’s political landscape continues to evolve ahead of the 2027 General Election.
Gachagua has been building the profile of his Democracy for Citizens Party, while Kalonzo has continued consultations with opposition leaders over possible political arrangements.
At party level, a separate Politrack finding released alongside the presidential figures put the United Democratic Alliance at 32 per cent, followed by the Democracy for Citizens Party at 11.7 per cent and the Orange Democratic Movement at 10.6 per cent.
The presidential figures therefore provide a snapshot of the political landscape during late September rather than a forecast of the eventual election outcome.
With the 2027 contest still ahead, candidate declarations, coalition negotiations and campaign activity could all affect voter preferences before Kenyans go to the polls.
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